haiti leakness

the haiti institutions (and we may wonder in what relation to the un staff and international staffs available) have announced a recount.

usually when a recount is announced we see that it happens to be confirming the suspect results, to sufficient extent.

i personally don't recall any recount with a significant positive result. for one with a negative result you only have to look at gbagbo. but there are other possible negative outcomes, usually just confirming the incredible results in a slightly different manner. the negative about such cases is more in the general loss of credibility and vulnerability of democratic participation.
(if nothing helps people tend to turn uninformed slowly, unless the repression is cataclysmic.
after all what is the use of endless dry political matters that are part of domestic politics if in the end you never have a say, and your votes don't even count)

so my prediction is that the recount , in the absence of a neutral observing regulation and independend institution for that, will confirm the results as they have been announced for the major part, actually i don't know the distribution as it stands, but i can still guess what will be the result. they will either say that there have been some mistakes and irregularitys, but that the two top candidates finished with the required votes and in the announced ordre.

or they will say martell had indeed many more votes , but still just not enough to join the race.

variations on it are 'celestin had actually a few more votes.

the usual expectation in the first two cases, should be the former presidents wife will be president, (a woman as a president being not contrary to usian publicatory campaigns), but will still be forced to share power with the sitting elites. (probably not in the least to keep agents like the mofa in place).

people with international contact as a major jobaspect, that sit still in the next are usually the XXXX from wikileaks.

if after all miss X the wouldbe president was to be shown as responsable for the forthcomong economical developments , being similar to the recent past, she and her affiliates wouldn't anymore be usefull at the next elections as much.

However, that Martelli is invited, and.. un and gov support a recount, indicate another thing.


&1 haiti


Martelli has been worked to cooperate, most probably. ofcourse this depends a lot if the recount procedure is insightfull for the observers. i would guess it is not telling about circumstances at polling stations, prefilled and overfilled boxes etc., and the complaints about the difficultys for the poor to register.

if you just see a whole heap of papers being counted, the outcome ofcourse is only what the one that last had authority over them likes.

quand on vois une masse de billet comptee seulle, le resultat surement est au goute l'authorite sur ces papiers avant.

that would mean martelli has been bought. so much for the good news, and buzzing about projecting and predicting. but honesty has me write my mind.

bought in a loose sense, he will have been prepared, worked, "We will still put you in an opportunity to do some good, and maybe next time..., you don't have the people to staff it, and you know it, bc you hardly trust any of the "qualified" people. see that you don't have an option but to work with this "political establishment". and perhaps subtle and less subtle threats.

in that case the usia would feel compelled not to implement the projected relief plans, imf will not give you a loan, we have the experience that every donor flees if a sudden change of establishment...., look at madagascar, you will be isolated, you will get bitter and try to hold on to power. anyhow we offer you this or that nice position, swiss account, future possibilitys, compromise concerning cholera or quake aid... something

for many people, and not in the least the ones that are not power hungry (is he? i guess he is inexperienced in politics over powerhungry) such arguments can be hard to counter. beside that the usual poor nation does have a more flexible attitude about what would be acceptable to agree to in terms of personal advantage in the first place.

well we gotta see what happens. if all my impressions would be confirmed, the old elite will battle for their positions in a way as to appear credible.

if otoh i am wrong, martelli could explain the public how recounting offers him and us any certainty about the electoral procedures as a whole.

he will surely however attempt such a thing (now, after i wrote this) for reasons of his own credibility and possibly that of others . i personally however don't see how with procedural transparance the people of haiti could still be fooled. the resulting analyses through media outlets representation and civilians checks will at least be juicy.

so even if such an explanation would be a good sign, we will have to regard this critically.
(is it true?).

&2 ivory coast.

higher diplomacy without any cables aside, i am glad that either the general being fedup with cheating, or the pressure exerted in the context of wikileaks and (my personal among) critics, has been putting a food in the door and mouth, for gbagbo, to once again grab the power.

the expectations on the street of such a change in power are not so high, some messy events, and most probably to many compromises (coupled with existing corruption) will impair progress. however there is a sincerity in the political field there, that appears to promise a serious attempt to put ivory coast on a higher plan.

that is perceived as promising. personally i added to that, and possibly a hotly contexted next election, bc in 4(5) years usually not so much changes, not so much can be set straight, lack of information and often experience and reluctant foreign partners (aka corporations) will hamper the alternative, Oattaras camp's, proceeding.

what do you need a cia for, if you can talk about all this:).

&3 wikileaks

now for the record i will say some things about wikileaks.

central in the discussion about the leaks is the term 'political'.

the freedom of expression, freedom of speech, freedom of conviction and even freedom of enterprise (embarrasing and fallible feature that it is) are all "politically" targetted.

there is a word for that , 'political repression'.

hacks are used, like collateral murder and targetted killings, cyber"crime" is only crime when done by the poor.(small detail that?)

it is possible there is a factor of planning in this. after all usian diplomacy was aware of the existence of the leaked sipdis dump months ago. id we add the factor of planning, the planning appears to be to further impair constitutional freedoms by actively setting precedents before legislature, thus (confidentially, secretly) bypassing the legal trajectory that would invite a lot of discussion and publicity. unwelcome because with more publicity and information people tend to rather protect their rights then those of the rich and priviliged.

being aware of that i look at wikileaks docs in 3 ways.
1st> the original circumstance, event that led to the existence of intelligence on a subject.
this is also the material check on veracity of the content as in nearly every case people are involved, as a result of wich people know and papers wrote something about, around the topic.
an example are papers about tsvangirai or zuma, that such papers exist is indeed very probable,
that they serve as a template to inform their own services is indeed also very probable.
wich is point 2
2nd> the circumstance as it is meant to be understood by the 3 million people that had acces to such papers (and felt very proud and smart for that)
this leads to some parts , statements, and perhaps whole papers, being only usefull in an archeological and forensic way. what was original about the content, and what is accidently overlooked in that proces of censorship.
3rd> possible preparation for the greater public. this can come in several forms, what papers are published in what ordre. eg. what papers make a more incredible , incomplete, incorrect. or even impossible, and substantially exagerated impression.

through all this, freudian mistakes, choice of words etc. are indications to what sticks behind.
a very good criterium is 'do they want us to know/think this. corporations over government, the situation the papers show, (is one of todays leaklike topics furtherdown), they don't want us to think/know.

thus obvious statements like weaponssales "potential" or the example i will still quote, are more probably untouched then statements about what x or y said.

It would really be very convenient for the usia if saudi arabias potentat calls iran a 'head of a snake'. wich renders the paper (esp. regarding procedure 2 and 3) a bit unreliable.
i think my impression of that paper was it was at least procedure(mod) 2.

05madrid4026 is an example of a doc i suspected was mod3, i will tell you if i find a better example, 06ryadh9095 is one i didnt even start reading, but now i peeked, and i am not sure if the first impression it is mod3 was warranted.

reading mod3 documents is only usefull if you want to find detail, and perhaps slips of the tongue etc. the content will otherways be boring and confirming mediaprojections. since slips of the tongues etc are available all through the documents there is no special challenge in looking for them in the least interesting. the mass of documents means that my individual research will mostly be limited by my own capacity of randomness and ' first impressions'

like : oh interesting topic, or well i know sth about that and it doesnt look to dumbed down lets read it. note that i can in mod3 ways still be influenced in my picks, ofcourse it is my first consideration however wether the report appears probable and reliable.

so i came to the conclusion subtantial portions of the documents are mod1 and mod2?
well i am sure many are mod2. i see to many confirmations about shadowy players and influence of banks and corps over even the usia state to assume it was all let out on purpose.

wether some are mod1 ? i am not so sure, it was cleared for sipdis after all, but i think some are mod1 (perhaps even quite a lot) because not every document appears to be altered
to be allowed to sipdis, allthough apaprently there are standard emissions.

like part 2 about zuma, or part 2 about cammara , it is often part 2 that is missing.
that means the whole set 1-3 is checked.( >= mod2) it also means part 2 is used for the more personal detail , and sipdis unsuitable detail, zuma for example in part 2 is quite a hero if i am not mistaken. 2 about camara would in the least show to much about the connections with marocco for a broader public like sipdis. (i suppose the definite assesment to his health, amongst things like his sexual activity, would be there)


by now i can just continue into the papers and round up my todays writing.

i took notes:D

&4 specific docs i worked at
i read some about spain,
after 08madrid724 and 05madrid2588 i switched topic. except that i understood the moc of gos is an agent, and what was the real deal about chavez, (usia trying to isolate him, but still sells weapons , however with known serial numbers(to usia), and perhaps inbuild selfdestructive features etc.)
also a convincing attempt to deny the venezolans military capacity.
i think there was another juicy thing somewhere in between, however the documents appear mod2 at best.

confidential may mean 2 things i think, either it means restricted circulation, or it means 'juicified' for sipdis. sipdis people kick on being in a position to read confidential matters, so the labels confidential and nofor may aim at getting a broader public there, when like in the case of the spanish armstrades, they are actually probably completely open in spain. (except the details like moc's role, that however add to the kick for sipdissers)

Molina btw plays a new kind of double role. on the one hand he is convinced he has no option but to abide, and serves (informs) usia. otoh he still represents spanish pov's in the matter,
he is seriously trying to support the deal of coastguard vessels(downtuned) and transportplanes(disallowed by usia).

the moment he sees those efforts obstructed he accepts the usian authority over the spanish.
wich sort of turns him into an agent. its just that it is made obvious for sipdis he feebly tries to represent spain (russia eg. does not follow up on the notion usia trades weapons to venezuela.)
between him and a traitor. (not that i mind much, if only there was transparance.)

migh it is a complicated job, i am not even anymore sure it wasnt mod spain to be an informer,
check it before you act. i think he was still more pragmatic but less of a contact, alltho on the obvious side(no less of an allie).

i went on to 05moscow11807, that surprisingly also considered trade with venezuela,
on manpads (..) there appears to be cooperation , wich is a suspicious thing considering the need for them if you would want to resist usia, the main antagonist of venezuela.

but on rifles , that apparently russia perceive as sth you can hardly refuse a nation, russia is sure to go forward with the deal and will not exchange serial numbers.
now this could be mod3D. in other words a militairy secret to fool venezuela. it is possible russia and venezuela cooperate to an extent that they would actually tell the usians those numbers, preparing it in this way to escape scrutiny by the venezolans (and perhaps most russians).

the uses of knowing such serial numbers are 'forensical' where else do the weapons end up. who uses them. and thus, who has been supported by chavez.

however the russians note that they perceive the usian attempts as commercial. russia finds their trade impaired and notices how seveal usian corps profit from that.

so the next:p
should be: 10moscow228
'onshore creditcard processing' now what would that be:S?

the stretch of the document is usian companys would be disadvantaged if the russians set up creditcard processing in russia.
even at first glace ofcourse that is hypocrite. why wouldnt a nation set up creditcardprocessing?

well: " Visa would no longer profit from these transactions"

allrighty, so russia is through usian diplomacy (politics) forced to guarantee visa profits??
indeed.

"
The law would set up a National Payment Card System (NPCS), which XXXX reported would likely be run by a consortium of state banks as either a non-profit entity or a joint stock, profit-making company. "

is that the problem? a nonprofit entity?

but it gets more funny:
"
5.(C) In the proposed draft of the law, if international payment card companies choose not to join the NPCS, they will have to set up on-shore processing centers. But neither Visa nor MasterCard representatives,
which together have 85% of the Russian payment card market, are willing to say whether they would be willing to do so.

so even as usia is agressivelly lobbying russia to give visa an unchallenged marketshare of russian financial transactions the givernment, and ambassadors are kept in the dark by the company's they are representing??

now who is the boss there, potus? (president of the united states) or visa.

visa obviously.

nice peek into reality.
mbeki.. they dont like him. perhaps he is a bit hard to handle, and indeed it is sad he would not retract his idiotical statements about aids, justified in so far that it would sound he acceots the official covertstory for that artifical plaque, but wrong in that it shows he is reluctant in emancipating sexuality and by extension in this context , women.

this goes for zuma as well. however they like him more then they admit, because he is smart and straight, even if he exploits political options, he hasn't betrayed his ideological vision.

he 'also keeps his composure' wich can be a very good thing, keeping your composure is a sign of staying calm and not turning violent quickly. however, zuma part two is missing, and with all he whining i saw about him, i can hardly be sure this picture is completely warranted.

the document however left me with a good impression of him. i am curious about mandelas opinion. mandela has a great deal of integrity and is a very usefull source of information as a result.

then tsvangirai. ok it is a bit nitpicky and wow what a lovely tasty juicy incorrect story about that diamondfield, nice diamonds there:p. (heey aljazeera featured that around that time...)
i don't know if mdc was involved according to that doc.

09harare1004 otoh shows a typical insight in politicians (and that tsvangirai himself is perhaps not the ideal person to adopt that attitude)


"He also acknowledged that his public statements calling for easing of sanctions versus his private conversations saying they must be kept in place have caused problems."

he lied to the public. and they tell him to shut up about it in private ('acknowledged" - admitted.. what guild he admitted? telling in private)

last remarks.
seems we are winning the cyberwar.
i admire you people, and love you for that, let's stick to our ways, for freedom and future.
tsvangirai perhaps does not deserve to be directly targetted by me, he's been beaten up before and he is only trying to be political and following his leads(uk,usia) advices.
otoh. transparance is transparance all the way. and the doc reveals his willingness to surrender business to usia and uk "do business with".

there was more noticable about the few docs i discuss here.
and there is a lot that remains to be said about julien assange's case.
indeed he deserves to be released, the foulmouthed remarks "a mischievious prankster' springs to mind, remarks from the worse of the corporations slaves, and the hot talk of former cia heads etc. notwithstanding

into the legal (and actually illegal) aspects of the case i will dig in another post.
its getting a bit much.

i wish everyone of us the best for now, and cheers and thumbs up really for showing who will win the struggle for a virtual and real future.
insist on transparance
take care
be solidair
thank you julien.

likified

ok i think either there are a few more of yesterdays cables then yesterday, or perhaps i was utterly fascinated by one or two (i was actually rather interested in some).

the note taking system didnt' work, i don't take notes(yet). i think of them sometimes.
4-12-2010 was an interesting day there because so many of the docs confirmed positions taken.

for example i started out with the document on chinas press freedom. the one about coverage of the partycongress specifically. perhaps without notes it is actually better btw. less of a danger to any kinds of sources. (not only theirs or the chinese)

but thats like scaremongering. these people managed to function very often on high levels for many years. the usual autocrat regime will definitily keep an eye on whatever contacts of their keypersonal. "do they talk with an ambassador" and next.. about what have they been talking.

even if i don't trust usian reports and perhaps 'would-be' reports, they show very well that the usual official meeting gets registered and reported. i am somewhat convinced it is hardly feasible to be a regular contact of say the consulate in beijng and have noone noticing.

it may also be in causal relation that relatively many of their contacts are relatively senior. outside a less precise insight in chinas prioritys usual people don't have so many excuses to meet.

the document about reporting of the congress didnt manage to make a very credible impression. to much of the 'press freedom rhetorics'. that besides, i would guess the content about the partycongress coverage is somewhat correct. if i am not mistaken aljazeera wrote on the same line about the event. (it was a bit boring and supported to little the public discussion)

that might not mean much ofcourse, except that aljazeera has many very professional journalists that do have a professional interresse in coverage.

in so far that part of the information is also an open door. it confirms for anybody to read it that has been interested in the event what i assume several papers wrote.

generally i think what all our papers write about such an event is screened. allthough perhaps not allways. i also wondered if the subjects didnt raise the attention of more chinese then doc . suggested. at some point the chinese informer himself seems to be relating exactly the kind of stuf usia wants to hear, and i must say the doument made a quite insincere impression on me.

it's a bit hard to guess if perhaps at top level they are also confirming their own biases here.
yet the document is revealing.

it's so full of supposed western pressfreedom that it strongly suggests wikileaks shouldn't be any problem at all.

next i read some about google in china, 1 percent of the links gets censored, now i would hate to know 1 percent of my links to be censored, besides probably way more actually are , that is.

of what remains to have 1 political percent censored would never be a help ofcourse. it depends then what is actually being censored in china except pornography.

stuff like chen a minh square is. ok surprising, and crazy i admit. but stuf about violent incidents through the police here gets routinely censored to the extent hardly anyone has an idea what kind of things go on and can go on. the very subjects of a demonstration, or arrests, let alone an activist campaign are routinely smeared and misinformed about, and very lousily documented through the somewhat more official and financially strong media.

so besides ofcourse killing people and driving over them with tanks is an extreme case even in a nation with a billion people, a similar or very similar incident might well be censored. theres no webpages about the heroism of the french urban resistance recently, and if there are any they are surely not easy to find or government sponsored.

don't want to say it is the same, but its damn similar. take for example haiti. if i understood the papers well there will be a change of power (however relative in some of the possible outcomes.)

i hope there will, the past ten (20 maybe even by now) years it has been painfully obvious haitians don't trust the governemnt they have. and want another, and that the capitalist proprietary class is kept in charge over the "silly black people".

(if you dont vote quietly you will all get cholera, is the central slogan of every recent government- public interaction in haiti. note that sth like that would show up in diplomatical correspondence, and that thus far stuff like that remains remarkably absent and out of view. allthough not in the wider application , of projected morality and problems).

thats intimidation and probably worse. blackmail. noone wants their children to get cholera, not even if you are in a hopeless position in a camp after centurys of oppression. it might rather make more of an impression. you know afterall what they have been doing to your people for century's.

the good news is that since today (would wikileaks have made a deal..) international organisations support a some transition of power. theres bad news there as well, one of the 2 other candidates is thoroughly rooted in the current political climate, and my guess is their cards are on her now. then you get a sweeter toned voice with the same political content.. but the other candidate is apparently young and alternative, and usually they will play it in a way as to make people belief the next representative of the (an) establishment is an alternative.

simply put, if they get her in that position, and looks like they plan that, in another 5 or 10 years somewhere a heap of documents might turn up that show her as a trustee informer.

ofcourse i am not sure about it, but it is with oppositions in suspect systems a lot and it is with elections that bring for the outside corporate world unwanted change , a lot.

to this and also cote 'divoire i still have the following to say. i am basically against people staying in charge of ill understood things like political entity's. even if they don't intend to , the longer they stay the more they settle, and perhaps even worse, the more this settling takes a materialist direction. it is more so when the nation is less informed. ie. poorer and less educated.

that is because in such societys more rather simple routes to power are open. not uncommonly there is some great reference for authority, and even when people are not corrupt they are very much used to bargain for their needs and wishes with material means. its easier to be corrupt in a poor nation.

as a result i have a great distrust for any kind of establishments in poor nations.

personally i think about ivory coast it is good when gbagbo leaves. he is there for some time now, and my impression is the phase of constructivity for him is over, and the phase of entrenchment
has already arrived. he will not only entrench his own position, but might be entrenching whole social layers. that would go to christians and as a result society would actually be polarising.

however if he remains the support of the army, my impression is there is nothing the ic ("international community") will do. they want to 'sit around one table' with him, to write contracts etc. still, would he win the next 'elections'.

hes not even a nice man to sit around tables with him i understand. its more about the contracts then the table.

but it's also safety , if some kind of rebels with a remotely islamic background fight a dictators army we know who's side they will choose, and who will still be safe in ivory coast then.

must note to this that in so far i know he isnt among the very meanest of potentats, and in how far he tried to make ivory coast a better place is also a question unanswered for now.

however it is obvious he hasnt been able to breach the division. it is also obvious neither the international climate nor the circumstance of having a split muslim christian population to africa itself, are very conductive to that.

last but not least it is obvious doing so in westafrica is not necessarilly easy.

on a sidenote elderly woman and children, (few and thus mostly rich ones btw), are allowed to flee even if so far things are somewhat calm. it doesnt mean much except there is still some freedom of movement. ask palestineans about what freedom of movement menas, or iraki, it's not nothing. it's not a typical muslim thing either if i am fair.

in a cultural way, but also literrally muslim society is predictably more restrictive even then a re-restricting european society not uncommonly.

it stands for the social immobillity also, physical mobility promotes and facilitates social mobility.
you have to look at it with some courage, then it is even worse, people staying all their lives in one village, one region, are socially immobilised and easily can be used as an obstacle for social advances. (being old fashioned and narrowminded they tend to vote way more conservative then their interests lay, for example.)

that is nothing muslim of trikont, it's essential in maintaining status quo everywhere in europe and all over the united states exactly and not coincedentually so.

ok. ill do the next bit, that got me so wary i quit all the reading for a while,
dadis cammara.

you remember the guy from guinee? the guy that made the increasingly less impressive media appearances? ofcourse there have been some exceptions. although guinee is not a great mess after he left, wich should be surprising in the light of the many complaints and reproaches.

if you read their reports that is certainly surprising. btw the question arrives why do these reports that are essentially medical make such a job out of portraying him (negatively).

no matter what contempt he met in morocco he was still welcome in burkina faso, it suits everyone, and that in turn suits burkino faso that is in the hands of some coup takers that killed the hero of the people for more then 10 years now.

note, gbagbo has them as an allie.


camara himself is a sad case, with part two of the report missing, and him receiving an old bullet in his head in the betweens, the conclusions that can be drawn is pervert pleasures are common to the projected readers of these documents, and that sth. is the matter with the whole case.

allthough i feel pitty for him, perhaps undeserved, it is not completely clear to me what is his condition. not suit to rule.. so much is made painfully obvious.

meanwhile back in connary the people still shiver from fear for him. and voices to bring him back magnify their fears enough that renewing the nations dealing has so far proven illusive.
i again wonder if that is so much a bug as really a feature.

however if he really set up militia "everywhere" things would be a bit scary.

you can perhaps guess why it made me stop reading. a very distastefull story and full of insecuritys i can hardly expect to be reported on by 'diplomatic cables' (released to army personal).

ok.. on with the reading, i am glad new things arrived. in between all that aljazeera published some detail i haven't yet read and will btw not be specifically looking for allthough i will be interested if it happens to be between my picks) about... aljazeera.

rotfl. you know, i publish there a little, and certainly love to be critical about them. however the accusation (that for Qatari political interests they be a willing tool and would even shut down for a year) seems either farfetched or strongly exagerated.

aljazeera is somewhat of a political tool, (like all media) and very often on the exact lines of usian propaganda, pressfreedom, but also in choices and picks. only if the public opinion is aware of the discrepancy you can be very sure aljazeera will also be critical, they don't usually steer in the nato's soups.(1)

in one case i noticed their reporting was strongly influenced by arab prejudice. sth about oceania it was. but i reacted to it and an example as extreme i havent again seen. in a few cases individual reporters , contributors, bloggers, whatever, do the same, but they are far and between.

topics that are in the news get a decent and impartial coverage compared to other newsoutlets.
(allthough you could interprete the sympathy with the underdog as partial in a statistical way,
there should be no surprise that opinions of for example muslims and indigenious people are better represented then elsewhere.)

besides that if there is one agenda they are serving it is the nato's. if nato decides to waste every article with a few standard agiprop phrases (like everything about northkorea endlessly repeating about the boat sunk without questionmarks) al jazeera loyally joins in.

i guess ppl will say : you see!? but there are just to many examples of endless repetition of known "facts", to leave that credible. another one is every article about haiti mentioning that a some official said "otherways everyone will have cholera". alltho that one did not go unnoticed either, it is mentioned everytime and not critisized explicitly.

i see no practical possibillity they would stop broadcast for a year. well maybe that was 12 years ago or so. when they didnt have this much of a regular and broad service.

but what was long ago, and when things were different then now, should not be the light we put things in.


1) it is indeed on the positive side about qatar, although even there renewing. in the least in cases, maybe over the whole. and to be honest, qatar (and bahrein, dubai, uae) are somehow part of the nato soup.

a panic .. people (3)

since i will mostly be considering haiti here some of you may wonder what this has to do with panic.

for historical reference, the 12th of januar at 16:53 (about) local time the capital of haiti, a shodden build capital in one of the poorest nations, was struck by a 7 magnitude earthquake and utterly devastated, current counts point at between 100 and 200000 people killed. burried beneath rubble.

at first the 13th and aproximately 24 hours after the incident, no clear news was let through to the major channels, after that it did and slowly a picture of the devastation was allowed to arrive.. no panic people..

i have the impression even the internet channels that people use to vent their own impressions had been limited to express only greetings, regards and messages of those who were still alive.
(i remember one guy that proudly wrote i am on this tv, i am on taht tv, some 10 times, however it was all he wrote)

24 hours is definitly enough to acces damages and even deathtoll in a realistic (altho nowhere precise ofcourse ) manner. such didnt happen. only after some 30 hours the news began to show that the disaster was of ultimately huge proportions.

of course people now react as if it just happened, you see a lot of focus on the searching, and after 4 days, with unknown but rather huge numbers of search and rescue teams that are still flown in, one would suspect more to get professional exercise then to still find survivors.

the first 24 hours after a huge earthquake are critical, anyone that got burried alive still has a chance for salvation in that time..

but like i explained, the first 24 hours nothing happened except a thorough control of the media.
so i apologise for my cynism but i think it need be said aid was send suspectably late.

at the very moment media attention partly focusses on the few survivors (after 3-4 days usually children), that still get pulled alive from beneath the ruins, actually it is a huge part of the reporting, no matter that beneath this rubble just very few would still be alive, and the stricken people on the streets, are still in need for medical care. and because it concerns millions, food.

water was not mentioned today so the city's water supply system has been put to use to distribute water by now. that is not very bad, also in the rescue of a little boy i saw that the procedure now encompasses cars to drive people to hospitals (ofcourse miracle survivors might get this extra attention) so the roads are to some extend clear in port au prince. that means distribution of water should no longer be a problem.

it's not solved but with the right kind of exercise noone needs to die from thirst. food is still a problem , millions of people on the street, and about 90% of them with no financial means, and nothing of an income left with the city largely (some 90%) destroyed, will be in dire need for food for weeks to come.

everyone (or almost all) with a foreign passport is leaving in a great hurry, and part of the population started drifting towards the country side of day one. yet some 2 million people remain in the area (thats an estimate) and they will need support.

a lot of questions start to rise, for example about the usian army, will they leave again? the whole haiti is very close to usia, the thought comes up how can you let your neighbour live in such poverty, but now donations are rolling in, and ofcourse expenses, on militairy planes and personnel are rising, i can't help but wonder where this aid will all end up, with a yearly average income of 256$ or so , obviously even the 50 or so million now collected could hire a lot of labour.

but i fear the overhead, since for years i have seen little control or accounting for what aid really arrived. for what it's worth i am quite distrustfull about the european overhead, so the whites way to cope with such money. i just wish some control in that sense will be put in place, because i think it is terribly bitter that money that is actually donated to victims of a major disaster can hardly be traced after it arrives at it's collectors.

that besides , how is it spend, obviously port au prince , that will just like every other disaster strucken poor nation city be rebuild at the exact spot of the disaster most probably, needs a better water supply system and decent building regulations. i am not intimate to the details of the seismic fault, and perhaps it would be a life long experience to predict anything definite about it, but another quake will take place in 40-50 and at most 100 years, and since earthquakes are notoriously hard to predict perhaps also much sooner.

the haitians themselves can't pay for this, their nation has been logged, being some 90% enclosed by sea they apparently have no fishing industry worth mentioning, and beside rampant erosion i know not yet of a major agricultural produce, a few projects i hears of offer people 5$ a day, of wich they then spend two on transport, but the ones with that luxurious kind of income are little.

so there is actually nothing, that is no news, if you look at the history of haiti, a majorly black nation (except the ruling class) the thought it is institutional racism that kept them so poor is striking early. why don't they have an income of mining or even oil, there must be some, who catches their fish? why wasnt reforesting required after logging? and was the destruction of a native agriculture (through erosion but i suspect also through population politics , sending the people to just this city) coincedentual?

it's all in the mist of banking secrets, someone gets payed for that fish, someone got payed for the wood. its now said its been used for charcoal, but i still remember how i recently read it was logging that did it for the most.

that besides, why is it not industrially developed in any sense. an aid organisation factory or two that pay 5$ a day i wouldn't call development.

i think because of institutional racism over the past two century's.

what has it ado with panic? firstly they did keep it obscure in the news for 24 hours, so as not to panic people, but i think also to get their publicity prepared, to have standard distracting formulations ready, so that the sour points that would move (panic) people don't get into the open easily. (logging versus charcoal eg.)

i end this story with expressing the hopes haiti will now be treated as a nation of humans, that development and not further exploitation will be the result of this quake and the interference that necessarily follows. that it will be reforested, get's it's fishing right's, a profit of it's own resources, and that agriculture will be stimulated. haiti is on an island split in two through colonial history and like in those cases most often i do, i think it may be that it would be better of if it fused with the dominican republic, but i don't expect it.

haiti is to aware of the racism in that republic to have high hopes of such a fusion, and unfortunately through knowing some of the history, i must admit i agree with that. racism has been the deciding factor in the (un) development of haiti, and that racism is shared by neighbouring hispaniola's in the dominican republic.

a next problem is with the local government, from now i must guess, because i don;'t know the details here, but after a violent power take over the un send a "peacekeeping" mission, that supported the new rulers and it is still there to police the populace. a populace that through century's of racism may indeed have become restless.

the luxurious presidential palace of wich i wonder it wasn't build since, collapsed. a former president wants to return, i fear to a rebuild palace..