the future

every day in the big world and the small (netherlands) things happen that destine the future. I don't want to say your future or our future, but also that is true.

Usually you would want things to have only a positive influence on the future, for some reason i think of that of others more then my own, the future of animals and plants for example.

But basically like my political theatre turned to be the international over the national, future got related with future of humans strongly. And all these humans they live in one or more future states, and apply some future rights. If anything at all.

So everything that is decided now, has an impact on these futures, and everything that is said can have a result for that future.

Basically even if i say nothing things will be said and done, "decided" that will force the future into a shape.

This makes the subject to wide however, i might as well say something because the future will anyhow have a shape.

At least i know it will, every day i am painfully aware that things said, (mine eg.),
positions taken (merkels eg.) or "decissions" made (wijnand duyvendak) have an impact on the future and i want to be pretty clear about it.

Basically for miss merkel i have this, i don't know what she is at, but the geopolitical ordre of peace and stability has considered the following things considering georgia of wich she gave no sign of noticing: (It's a long list)

the cold war is over. That is hard to cope , deal with and understand for anyone,
but from the humanist point a war that is over need not be rekindled.
If Merkel wants to fight russia over something, she could use the words and structures of the current days to fight it.

We don't fight Merkel over h. so she as a proper human would not need to fight russia over it's past. However if this is not her fear and mistake, miss merkel, she is a very different camp, we must then consider her a strawwoman then, ready to be hired for escalation.

Then considering georgia. The Nato didnt win a war , russia did, it won the war of georgians against south ossetians and probably abchazians to. As a result russia was and still is in a position to degrade georgias military capacities, a thing that concerning saaksvillis methods seems like something of a preventive measure, and considering his ambitions slightly more so. (Nato membership) well people may be a member of anything except an organisation that uses criminal eg. violent methods.(like the nato btw)There are absolutely strong signals nato is doing her best to achieve a offensive position against russia.

Not only against russia, obviously many other nations are considered potential spheres of influence, but in this case that is not the subject.

The human and economical costs that come with military action of that kind (interventions, occupations, invasions) is one that should be reduced to an absolute minimum.

A thing russia tried and to a great extend achieved if you compare the georgian situation to the usual " invasion or occupation" (saaskvilles words).

There is absolutely no doubt that the current "World ordre" much characterised by deceipt and lie, intimidation and military violence, will not be the one to bring the nations together for peeace.

To bring the world together we need a thing often called justice. justice and military alliances, intimidation and mutilated news don't go together.
not with the justice we need. (as opposed to the one there is)

Practically it means russia is left little option in the negotiations, but to somehow continue a preventive military action on georgia, that future nato state that can do anything, just because it is not with the russians, called slaves by other europeans.

The agreement for a redrawal includes an agreement that the georgians return to their bases and occupy themselves with peacetasks, it is very brutal and insane to try to apply that as a diplomatic victory over russia from nato.

It means merkel, the west, has no objections to russia killing georgians as they will only use it as the excuse they were looking for.

That is not the way russia wishes, or the world should wish to run these negotiations. For me merkel lost any inspiration, i really think she is like the dutch government, and in the case less constructive in practice then even condoleeza rice (that might have been better then the dutch "news" showed as it appeared an awkward cut, she actually really achieved that russia will try to negotiate for a situation of complete military disengagement (with georgian forces preventively, because they are preoccupied with occupying south ossetia and abchazia still.)


Merkel one of "that" side, the side of repression and intolerance, the side that with sneaky decissions not only encrouches on russia , but is also having daily repercussions on our daily european life, encrouches on us. An insignificant one it seems. Yet a dangerous tool.

That, is the matter of authority, the usual system tries to moderate society through authority (not through justice aka sense) teh rsult of that is that every of their strategys contributes to the actual state of repression,

The whole internal dutch , and ofcourse also the european policy, is much dedicated to that strong and superior position of the rule, the state , over people, one result of that is that the external policy is also authoritarian, as such it fails to improve on the world in a similar way as it fails to secure social improvement on a structural scale most anywhere.

I don't want to go into details.

we live in a ridiculous world, ruled through a sad bunch of people, that vow for blood instead of looking for a future.

Censory daily bussiness

As usually i not only get censored but i also try to find out why and where i am censored. Its confusing. I send a test message at alJ on a subject that i had definetly been disallowed to post to them to. (by whom ofcourse you can't be all sure) One would say that if alJ moderation works so swift, a "test" message would not get a confirmation, (i send them to junk since if anything i check them between 4days), well teh ridculous and hard to understand text message..
test
(PR typo lviv)
alJ spam by subject,

a pun on their systems, did get through.... hesitatingly,
so thats suspect it is perhaps not alJ that is censoring so much of my opinions.

As a rule ofcourse i am under the impression the disappearing texts do still get used by the powers in question, and by media some. So it must be they are actually interesting. General subjects on wich my media acces seemed mangled were many,
especially political actuality is censored, wether that is olhmerts next PR stunt,
georgia, or musharaf, exceptionally positive comments appear to come through more often and there is a point in that the usual post that disappears would contain a few opinions about the democratical functionality of officials.

let me just, after telling what i can tell other ways, tell you what i have been thinking over these affairs.

Georgia. I support Russia over georgia. Thats more a matter of a non aggressive geopolitical reality i have an ambition for then the specific thing. Luckily now medvedev made the surprising move to put a straight hold on actions, I think that is diplomatically or in terms of PR the best decission. Some operational requirements needed to be met but with a georgia in panic and disarray (like the south ossetians a lot of them moved about against their wishees) reasonable negotiatians with the georgian side seem to be again more possible. I hope they will apreciate the russian gestures.
To my surprise nato (and israel, and even usian foreign advisors etc.) showed no direct interest to greatly escalate the situation.
I take it as a hopefull sign, it is a change, it is so the media reported the whole affair, here in netherlands, with a huge anti russian bias. But this unreal perception of reality is for once not the modus operandi of the diplomatical world, keeping it that way would make a big change, and i think the change the world needs.

The details against ossetians are pretty disgusting, to me it seems russia otoh has maintained a very limited and military operation, somewhat succesfully evading civil casualtys. The only thing against that is the scale, then again, actually did not do so much inside georgia, and the area of south ossetia must be considered another case for many reasons. That one of russias arguments to support such tiny nations may be they don't feel all secure against US and the Nato that keeps building bases around them is exactly the geopolitical matter that makes me side with them.

That means i can easily imagine this is a very scary event for the russians as well,
It would be a possible start to clear up much of the misplaced animositys of the world, much like the olympics could be a place where differences can be evaluated instead of accentuated.

In that sense the "usual persons psychology" for me is hard to understand, the mere spectacle, and location are supposed to have unmeasurable PR value for china, and indeed people are more interested in china then before.

The most annoying thing about bush lately was his talking about 2000? political prisoners in china, i think us has 15000 ppl in guatanamos only worldwide, then again i would again like to have an idea of what is a fair impression these days,
for me it is obvious poorer less developed nations have their rights issues.
If china somehow manages such problems on her giant scales i think it is a proof of it's governments good intentions.

There remains a lot to wish for also in china, but there are so many nations a lot remains to be wished for and pressfreedom and freedom of expression are a farce at bush side as well.

mh next subject, whats olympics got to do with it?
Musharaf,
now what in pakistan, a clownesque situation, different accusations have been made against musharaf, however also plays a more official motion of distrust, that i suppose is the kind of measure that should dispose him. However how can you take that serious if the involved partys have locked another up in almost every way over corruption and seem to be out for no less then musharafs skin, using of all things, the war on afghanistan's finances. So that means like this there is no compromise or respect left for musharaf. I think it is a pitty because the man represented a progressive and even somewhat tolerant set of values, ofcourse that is only an impression but i hope pakistan with her current unrest won't return to the kind of underdeveloped and marginal state it used to be under musharafs opponents rule.

Zimbabwe, well about zimbabwe i wrote that if it hadn't been for all the international attention mugabe would have had less of carte blanche of many ppl on the world. In a situation were noone trusts any, you end up trusting what you had.
That there now are negotiations, for me, implies tsvangirai is getting ready to agree to mugabe on the matters of zimbabwe souvereignety (in the wider sense of economic politics etc. as well) and african unity, wether or not to allow political economical development that undermine the african unity and prosperity, very exciting and tense, a strange detail is to some extend with the 'brutal oppressor' picture in mind, mugabe must have always tolerated tsvangirai. That is not so exceptional, but it may tell something about minds or personality's. Mugabe might know rather precisely how he wants tsvangirai to guarantee certain developments. But also mugabe may have been 'not very afraid' of morgan, i must say when i compare the two and the few direct impressions they left on me, mugabe generally appeals to me more, and i think like that is perhaps one of those reasons. It may also be one of the reasons the other zanu faction is represented, don't worry a newer and still progressive africa then mugabe's also exists, and arthur could represent it.

So that are surprising developments to me, about the zimbabwe situation i get rather optimistic, about Pakistan i am not quite sure, but if the world will not eternally and deeply blame russia over something they hardly had a hand in, (and that appears like a premeditated nato PR trick with the Nato sponsored georgian army featuring as a sad excuse:-0), my sun will start shining. Perhaps its obama's good influences.

As a matter of factual also there was a russian not only de facto but UN mandated peace mission in the territory. Russia has done evrything i wished for to manage the situation, evacuate the civilians, degrade some of the toys, put a great statement, withheld from really compromising georgian territorial integrity, and the nr of victims even in both armys have remained somewhat limited, i think during all the operation great care has been maintained, considering that in a story about the eviction of gori, 7 wounded soldiers in a military convoy 15 miles away were worth mentioning.

i might have to add something to this.

600000 bullets a day

I rili don't feel like doing this, but here goes some more critics on UN.

What we actually see on play in media and politics these months is something that should stop. Obviously people still have great hopes for a better future of their society's . When kenya happened, and to our not small surprise usia ceded short before actual recidivist genocide, the obvious situation that the palestineans will
be repressed into some support, and last and foremost Obama.

The nepalese elections having delivered a maoist majority is no small surprise in times of electional fraude, that butan abolishes monarchy is always a promise, people are writing constitutions evrywhere, and another 4 million ppl nation, paraquai will enjoy some more freedom and justice. What i think is these are small cookies.

anyway it should not be enough to give up hope, but what stands against it.
Against it stands the usian elections, that as always are turned in a parade of bias and fears. The obvious situation that perhaps not even obama can get the neocons out of irak, the huge problem with foodshortages, and the enduring pressure from the west on africa.

Situations have become rather obsessed. there is a small minority shouting tibet should go above evrything, hardly needed because it would be above evrything anyhow,
the media represent it extremely well. It's obviously as well planned as the games in peking are. Now the tibetans are just having bad luck. they are a usefull pawn
in the hands of the antichinese, happening to be the same that want to stay in irak.

as such they have become a ridicule of international relations, wich is not quite the greatest service their sponsors offered. Then again.. generally spoken you would sympathise with the tibetans, wich could be a reason to voice discontent, i do wonder wat wud happen if usia hosted these games, i fear i would well be willing to disturb their ridiculous flame run. Since china already grants the tibetan province cultural autonomy, asking more would be encrouching on their territorial integrity.

I must say the reports i hear about chinas behaviour in tibet are shocking to my norms, well aware that i am that shocking things like these happen in many places of the world certainly also under usian (and nato, even un) flag.

So its a very hypocrit story to preach independance for tibet, when actually the chinese society as a whole is modernising and the attention at the olympic games could also be a more sincere attempt to promote human rights in general.
I guess that is not on the agenda, becus they are not so sure they want to be pointed at human rights all the next olympics.

Then there is the mugabe affair.
Very long brittain has resisted to let go of zimbabwe before independance. it resulted in one more bloody conflict, that was complicated through SA interference,
special quads of other nations operating, english, fighting, massive human rights infringements (mostly by the whites) and a radiation of civil warlike armed conflicts in the area. Allthough that was ofcourse regionally mutual, in all these cases SA and western foreign policy played a role.

at one point the situation in zim could not anymore be held, and as one of the last it decolonised. Immediatly ridiculous claims were brought by whites who thought they still owned the land and positions they stole. Not only that, sanctions and boykots were brought into effect, and have been there ever since.
Now there is MDC and morgan tsvangirai. He is quite an amable guy himself, however he is representing the obvious surrender option. He is regarded as someone who has close ties to the english, every diplomatic move SA or angola makes shows they are under great international pressure themselves. That means : africa is not decolonised yet, strangely indeed SA better economy hardly helps the poor, and so its hard to sympathise with the opponents of mugabe. It wudnt introduce normal relations with the western world, but assymetrical ones.

Now in the media robert mugabe is depicted as a brute, a hideous dictator and perpetrator of every evil deed and even genocidal actions. His better sides kept in the shadow as ever since independance. The zim people are actually not that excited as we are all made to think. Chances are all this anti mugabe diplomatics are basically spilled on the zim populace and actually more will vote for mugabe.

That besides the camp remains very split, about half of the ppl supporting mugabe, the rest vying for morgan or any iniative. Normalisation of the relations with zimbabwe could also now be done, without morgan tsvangirai. It is very doubtfull if this priority with presidents is so usefull anyhow, considering that a democracy is supposed to be ruled by its parliament.

actually the west says: we want our own dictator there. that is a big risk to take.
Zimbabwe will never be all slave and downtrodden attitude again, and a great change in national politics not rarely escalates into violence.
iotw, if morgan wins he has to take some care in not destroying to much of the existing structures fast or the result will imediatly be a repressive situation.

So thats a dirty case. Tibet is a dirty case, zimbabwe is one, now what is next on the war and hate agenda of the western media....
Ill tell you. it is georgia. The nato has now deployed the un against georgia.
i think its a dirty soup they are steering in, at a dirty time in history.